Three point guards, all drafted in 2009, all in a row.
|17||PHI||Jrue Holiday||University of California, Los Angeles||221||6905||2625||741||1112||.439||.375||.798||31.2||11.9||3.4||5.0||11.2||.078|
|18||MIN||Ty Lawson||University of North Carolina||207||5582||2490||565||988||.498||.388||.784||27.0||12.0||2.7||4.8||17.5||.151|
|19||ATL||Jeff Teague||Wake Forest University||207||3865||1420||328||581||.451||.332||.779||18.7||6.9||1.6||2.8||8.3||.103|
Now, a walk through a timeline of Wednesday night, a Halloween night which might have provided a good bit of news for Jeff Teague to smile at before his head hit the pillow.
First, the night before, Ty Lawson got locked up by the Nuggets.
Ty Lawson signs four-year extension with Nuggets. cbsprt.co/Rucqv9 @tylawson3 breaks the story with his "sources."— Matt Moore CBS (@MattMooreCBS) October 30, 2012
That led me to believe this:
Lawson's 4yr/48M deal is an interesting benchmark for Jeff Teague next offseason.— Jason Walker (@JasonWalkerSBN) October 30, 2012
Matt Moore offered and I concurred in this assessment:
Excellent point. MT @hpbasketball: @jasonwalkersbn Lawson>Teague>Holiday so whatever Holiday gets will set the floor.— Jason Walker (@JasonWalkerSBN) October 30, 2012
It may not be the popular ranking of the three, but take a look at the advanced statistics and you'll see that Teague has passed Holiday.
Now, with their ears obviously burning, the representatives for Holiday and the 76ers came across with this just before the deadline to extend these guys.
Jeff Teague smiles. RT @espnsteinline: Four years, $41 million for Jrue Holiday before midnight buzzer, sources tell ESPN— Jason Walker (@JasonWalkerSBN) November 1, 2012
Incentives could push Holiday's deal higher, but 41 million is guaranteed. So, with 12M per for Lawson and around 10M per for Holiday AND if you believe that Teague fits right in between, then you could be looking at an 11M dollar a year price tag for Jeff.
I'll wait while you finish screaming.
Now, on the other hand, this is not a fair accompli that Jeff gets that money. As Tom Ziller pointed out this morning, these teams that extended guys may have been bidding against themselves.
The Nuggets were first up (after Griffin's deal months ago), and they got Lawson for an average of $12 million. That should signal to the Sixers that they should be paying no more than about $8-9 million a year for Holiday. (They'll be spending more than $10 million.) Earlier on Wednesday, the Warriors reached a $44 million agreement with Curry. That should tell the Raptors and Sixers they are offering too much for their guards.
Of course, the market could be rich enough for Teague to get there anyway.
For those down on Jrue's deal: Bobcats, Mavs, Bucks, Hornets, Kings & Jazz need a PG and may have max cap room. One was giving him an offer— Mike Prada (@MikePradaSBN) November 1, 2012
After last-minute flurry of extensions, top RFA's from Class of 2009 next summer: Jennings, Evans, Collison, Maynor, Teague.— David Aldridge (@daldridgetnt) November 1, 2012
Six teams need PGs -- and the top five restricted free agents happen to play a little point guards. Demand equals six, supply equals five.
Payday. And that's why Jeff Teague is smiling.