Poll For an Off Day
by Hoopinion
on Jan 6, 2009 10:02 AM EST
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With 40(.2)-percent of the season completed and another off day to fill, I say it's time to re-visit everyone's expectations for the team.
- The Hawks are 22-11. If they continue to win two-thirds of their games, they'll finish with 54 or 55 wins.
- The Hawks Pythagorean record through 33 games is 20-13. If they're more of a .606 winning percentage than a .667 winning percentage team the rest of the way, they'll finish with 51 or 52 wins.
- John Hollinger's Playoff Odds project 50 wins for the Hawks. In the best of the 5000 simulated iterations of the remainder of the season the Hawks win 63 games. In the worst of the 5000 simulated iterations of the remainder of the season the Hawks win 35 games.
What say you?
As always, feel free to own or elaborate your vote in the comments.
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I am not gonna lie, I had the under to start the season, but I have been pleasantly surprised. I think they end up with 45-49 wins because the starters start to tire a bit and get rested more once the playoff spot is secured and we lock in a 4 or 5 seed.
by The Beard on
Jan 6, 2009 10:07 AM EST
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Color me opimistic
I picked 50-53 wins, with a caveat of course. So long as we don’t have any major injuries, then I don’t think there are many teams that are going to beat us. Sure, many have the ability, but I think the team has proven that yes indeed, we can beat just about everyone in the league. I wish I didn’t have to paraphrase Woodson on that, but I believe it’s true.
I think we will still lose a few games to teams that are inferior to us on paper, but we will also play up to our tougher opponents and pul off a few of those for wins. I guess the key will be if not only the coach, but also the players, can evaluate themselves and evolve, making better decisions on the court and from the sideline.
I would say that with the way this team plays, one significant injury to any of the starters has the potential to push us back below the 50-win mark. The bench just isn’t utilized efficient enough to cover yet.
by Jesse28 on
Jan 6, 2009 1:52 PM EST
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